Fine sunshine this morning. The forecast 'surge' didn't happen and the Thames rose only about 2 inches overnight. There were dire warnings in Reading yesterday and at least one business in Caversham put up a 'closed due to flooding' sign. We moved furniture from the two lowest rooms last night; the promised sandbags haven't arrived but we haven't needed them either.

The 'Environmental Agency' (as many unknowingly misname them) have pushed forward their estimate of the expected peak to later tomorrow morning. If there is no serious rain and the present rate of rise continues, it should be no worse than four years ago and the levels may even be lower. That might still mean some houses and roads locally will flood.

If it rises more than 6 inches in the next day or so we will still have problems.